If you thought people were already sharing way too much on social networks, you’re in for a rough future. At least, Mark Zuckerburg thinks and it’s probably wise to say he knows what he’s talking about. Zuck dropped the knowledge in a talk at Y Combinator’s startup school yesterday. He put it this way to Y Combinator co-founder Paul Graham:
“It’s sort of Social Networking version of Moore’s law. We expect this rate( of Sharing) will double every 10 years so in 10 years from now, people will be sharing 1000 times as many things as they do today “
That’s an awful big increase, don’t you think? Is there even 1,000 times as much stuff to share? With the advent of tech like Google Glass, maybe long, rambling videos will become more popular, as will insanely huge and boring picture albums, but still, 1,000 times?
“One definition of technology is that it extends human capability,” Zuckerberg said. “A social network extends people’s real social capacity.”
The possibility Zuck seems to be ignoring here is a social crash. We’ve seen people arrested over Facebook posts, so maybe we’ll collectively learn not to share everything all the time. That’s not to say volume won’t increase, but I doubt it’ll get up to 1,000 times as much. What would that even look like? I know I’d rather not find out.
Today when we take a look at Africa’s growth on Facebook, drawn from the Global Monitor statistics for February. Africa is by far the world’s smallest region in terms of its total number of Facebook users, coming in almost even with the Arabian Peninsula despite a huge disparity in total population. Given the usage rate or rate or rather sharing rate, its not a guarantee that the sharing rate will increase that much to the tune of 1000 times considering the rate of internet usage and access. [GIZMODO]